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Research papers

Forecasting without data a fool's dream?

This paper reviews many of the problems associated with forecasting in China, discusses alternatives to get round these problems and then reports a case history using a novel approach to forecast sales of a valuable but high cost drug in China.

Catalogue: Asia Pacific Conference 1996: Marketing In Asia
Authors: Mark Ahn, Colin N. Maitland
November 1, 1996

Research papers

Prevalence estimation of selected fungal infections for today and a forecast for the year 2000, covering key countries

Estimations of the potential market volume for new products should be developed from clinical and epidemiological data (number of patients) as a basis, rather applying straightforward estimations of sales volumes. The goals of the study presented...

Catalogue: EphMRA/ESOMAR Conference 1995: Pharmaceutical Marketing Research- The Challenge For Growth
Authors: Sebastian Weil, Arno Brandt
Company: Roche
June 1, 1995

Research papers

Forecasting pharmaceutical brands

The aim of this paper is to examine how pharmaceutical forecasting is currently conducted, from different clients' perspectives, to stimulate discussion and to make recommendations about how the practice could be improved. Pharmaceutical forecasting,...

Catalogue: EphMRA/ESOMAR Conference 1995: Pharmaceutical Marketing Research- The Challenge For Growth
Authors: Oliver Mast, Sandra Buckeldee
June 1, 1995

Research papers

The 'heavyweights'

I plan to share with you some innovative market research completed to help us estimate the dollar potential for a prescription "weight loss" product in Europe using only medical promotional efforts. Our hypothesis was that even though we did not...

Catalogue: EphMRA/ESOMAR Conference 1995: Pharmaceutical Marketing Research- The Challenge For Growth
Author: William V. Lawson
June 1, 1995

Research papers

Evaluating and forecasting prescribing

The paper is divided into four main sections. The Methodology describes the data upon which the analyses were based and explains the theoretical background to the approach adopted. The Results are then presented to show how large and small drugs...

Catalogue: EphMRA/ESOMAR Conference 1995: Pharmaceutical Marketing Research- The Challenge For Growth
Authors: Andrew S. C. Ehrenberg, Philip Stern
June 1, 1995

Research papers

Developing integrated forecasts in an increasingly complex, global pharmaceutical market

As decision-making for prescription pharmaceuticals becomes increasingly pluralistic, forecasting the market share of a new product or line extension is more difficult than ever, especially in global, international applications. This paper presents a...

Catalogue: EphMRA/ESOMAR Conference 1995: Pharmaceutical Marketing Research- The Challenge For Growth
Authors: William F. Mckenna, Girish Patwardhan, Juliet J. Goodfriend
June 1, 1995

Research papers

Charting the cultural future of markets

This paper presents a framework for charting the cultural future of markets, from the standpoint of developing culturally insured marketing strategy for a firm. It is drawn from our experience of having to forecast the cultural future of the Indian...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1994: Success Through Adaptation
Authors: Monty Alexander, Rama Bijapurkar, Virginia Valentine
September 1, 1994

Research papers

Towards 2000

The aim of this paper is to define the directions that should be pursued by retail panel research in the next 6 years. A mini-survey was conducted among the major responsible persons in market research at an international level in the clients'...

Catalogue: Seminar 1994: The Changing Faces Of Panel Research
Author: Elisabetta Osta
June 15, 1994

Research papers

Economic trend indicator surveys as a management tool

The aim of this paper is to study so-called economic trend indicator surveys and their relevance as tools to prognoses and forecasts. The history of economic trend surveys is long, although the 1960s and 1970s paved the way for the rising popularity...

Catalogue: B2B Marketing Seminar 1994: Reengineering Of Traditional Market Research
Authors: Kristian Rikard-Petersen, Morten Bekholm
June 15, 1994